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External debt sustainability in the transition economies of southeast Europe: an application by wavelet-based unit root tests       
Yazarlar
Doç. Dr. Memduh Alper DEMİR
Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Özet
This study aims to examine the external debt sustainability in the transition economies of Southeast Europe, some of which are among the developing countries, by wavelet-based unit root tests. In this framework, the unit root test was applied to the gross foreign debt variable, and the variable consisting of the ratio of the gross foreign debt to the gross domestic product (GDP) of the countries and their stationaries were examined. Each country differs depending on the time dimension in the analysis. However, in general, starting from the 2000s until the second quarter of 2020, the data were taken as a quarter. The data were first tested for linearity and the FWKSS and WKSS unit root tests were applied to the nonlinear data. According to the test results, external debt is sustainable in Romania and Bulgaria for both variables in the analysis. However, it has been observed that foreign debt is unsustainable in North Macedonia and Slovenia for these two variables. In terms of the gross external debt variable, external debt was sustainable in Albania and Croatia. However, in terms of gross external debt/GDP ratio, it has been found that foreign debts are unsustainable in Albania and Croatia.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Southeast Europe,transition economies,external debt,sustainability,wavelet-based unit root tests,FWKSS,WKSS
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü ESCI dergilerinde yayımlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı Eastern Journal of European Studies
Dergi ISSN 2068-651X
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler ESCI ve SCOPUS
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 06-2021
Cilt No 12
Sayı 1
Sayfalar 173 / 190
Doi Numarası 10.47743/ejes-2021-0107
Makale Linki https://www.ejes.uaic.ro/