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New Time Series Evidence for the Causality Relationship Between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in the Turkish Economy    
Yazarlar (2)
Cem Saatcioğlu
Türkiye
Doç. Dr. Hüseyin Levent KORAP Doç. Dr. Hüseyin Levent KORAP
Türkiye
Devamını Göster
Özet
This paper aims to investigate the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in the Turkish economy by using contemporaneous Exponential GARCH EGARCH estimation methodology. Our findings indicate that inflation leads to inflation uncertainty, and dealing with the information content of this relationship, the conditional variance of inflation reacts more to past positive shocks than to negative innovations of equal size. Causality analysis between inflation and inflation uncertainty reveals that inflation Granger- causes, or in other words, precedes inflation uncertainty, but no clear-cut and significant evidence in the opposite direction can be obtained. Furthermore, generalized impulse response analysis estimated in a vector autoregressive framework yields supportive results to these findings.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü Ulusal alan endekslerinde (TR Dizin, ULAKBİM) yayınlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı Doğuş University Journal
Dergi ISSN 1302-6739
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler Türkiye Makaleler Bibliyografyası, EBSCO Academic Search Complete, EconLit, Tübitak-ULAKBİM Sosyal ve Beşeri Bilimler Veri Tabanıi DOAJ (Directory of Open Access Journals, Open J-Gate, ASOS (Sosyal Bilimler İndeksi)
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 01-2009
Cilt No 10
Sayı 2
Sayfalar 235 / 248
Makale Linki journal.dogus.edu.tr/index.php/duj/article/view/46
BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
Atıf Sayıları
Google Scholar 13

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