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Threshold GARCH Modeling of the Inflation & Inflation Uncertainty Relationship: Historical Evidence from the Turkish Economy    
Yazarlar (1)
Doç. Dr. Hüseyin Levent KORAP Doç. Dr. Hüseyin Levent KORAP
Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Devamını Göster
Özet
In this paper, the preceding / causal relationships between inflation and inflation uncertainty have been tried to be examined for the Turkish economy. Dealing with the information content of this relationship, we estimate that positive inflationary shocks are associated with statistically significant and quantitatively larger levels of inflation uncertainty than are negative shocks. Our estimation results indicate that inflation in fact leads to inflation uncertainty in line with the Friedman-Ball hypotheses. However, our findings contradict the CukiermanMeltzer hypotheses that inflation uncertainty leads to inflation in a positive way. We find that the larger the inflation uncertainty the lower would likely to be the level of inflation
Anahtar Kelimeler
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü Ulusal alan endekslerinde (TR Dizin, ULAKBİM) yayınlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı İstanbul Üniversitesi İktisat Fakültesi Mecmuası
Dergi ISSN 2602-4152 Wos Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler ULAKBİM, EBSCO, ASOS Sosyal Bilimler İndeksi
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 01-2010
Cilt No 60
Sayı 2
Sayfalar 157 / 172
Makale Linki https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/iuifm/issue/797/8702
BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
Atıf Sayıları
Google Scholar 6

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