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Analyzing the Factors Affecting the Price of Broiler Chicken in Turkey Using the Boosting Regression Method      
Yazarlar
Mehmet Saltuk Arıkan
Fırat Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Mustafa Bahadır Çevrimli
Selçuk Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi Murat POLAT Dr. Öğr. Üyesi Murat POLAT
Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Burak Mat
Selçuk Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Ahmet Cumhur Akın
Burdur Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Zeynep Özel
Mustafa Agah Tekindal
İzmir Katip Çelebi Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Özet
Investigating the factors that affect broiler chicken prices in Turkey is vital for understanding market formation. The parameters and factors likely to influence the price of broiler chicken were analyzed for the period between 2010–2020 in Turkey. The study adopted the boosting regression model to predict the correlation between broiler chicken consumer price and variable factors like broiler feed, corn, soybean meal, wheat prices, the dollar exchange rate, producer price index (PPI), and agricultural PPI. The accuracy of the estimation of the regression model created according to the results of the analysis was calculated as 86%. The producer price index variable caused the highest relative impact (25.63%) on broiler chicken meat prices. The highest positive correlation was obtained between the producer price index and the agricultural PPI (r = 0.984). Thus, it was determined that chicken prices were affected by feed raw material prices and the general economic conditions in Turkey. In addition to improving the prevailing economic conditions, an effective price control mechanism is required to prevent excessive price fluctuations in the sector. Simultaneously, it is essential to create policies to reduce input costs.
Anahtar Kelimeler
boosting regression | Chicken meat | price | Turkey
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayımlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı BRAZILIAN JOURNAL OF POULTRY SCIENCE
Dergi ISSN 1516-635X
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SCI-Expanded
Dergi Grubu Q3
Makale Dili Türkçe
Basım Tarihi 01-2022
Cilt No 24
Sayı 4
Sayfalar 1 / 6
Doi Numarası 10.1590/1806-9061-2021-1618
Makale Linki http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1806-9061-2021-1618