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An assessment of the effects of climate change on annual streamflow in rivers in Western Turkey  
Yazarlar
Semih Kale
Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart Üniversitesi, Turkey
Olcay Hisar
Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart Üniversitesi, Turkey
Adem Yavuz Sönmez
Kastamonu University, Turkey
Fatih Mutlu
Türkiye Cumhuriyeti Çevre ve Orman Bakanlığı, Turkey
Walter Leal Filho
London Metropolitan University, United Kingdom
Özet
Global warming and its impacts are known to cause serious problems in sustainability of natural resources. In this study, change-point analysis and trend analysis were applied to climatic (temperature, precipitation, evaporation) and streamflow data for Tuzla, Gediz and Büyük Menderes rivers. Box-Jenkins technique and ARIMA model were used for trend analysis. Results showed that there were decreases in streamflow of all rivers. The paper suggests that climate change effects on streamflow could be changeable and that many factors (anthropogenic effects, geographical location, agricultural activities) should be considered. Management strategies specified regionally are required to mitigate the potential climate change effects.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Change-point analysis | Climate change | Streamflow | Trend analysis | Turkey
Bildiri Türü Tebliğ/Bildiri
Bildiri Alt Türü Tam Metin Olarak Yayımlanan Tebliğ (Uluslararası Kongre/Sempozyum)
Bildiri Niteliği
Bildiri Dili İngilizce
Kongre Adı International Journal of Global Warming
Kongre Tarihi /
Basıldığı Ülke
Basıldığı Şehir