Diurnal surface fuel moisture prediction model for Calabrian pine stands in Turkey
Yazarlar (7)
Prof. Dr. Ertuğrul Bilgili Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Doç. Dr. Kadir Alperen Coşkuner Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Yetkin Usta
Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Prof. Dr. Bülent Sağlam Artvin Çoruh Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Prof. Dr. Ömer KÜÇÜK Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi Tolga Berber Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi Merih Göltaş İstanbul Üniversitesi-Cerrahpaşa, Türkiye
Makale Türü Açık Erişim Özgün Makale (SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale)
Dergi Adı Iforest (Q2)
Dergi ISSN 1971-7458 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SCI-Expanded
Makale Dili İngilizce Basım Tarihi 05-2019
Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa 12 / 3 / 262–271 DOI 10.3832/ifor2870-012
Makale Linki https://iforest.sisef.org/abstract/?id=ifor2870-012
UAK Araştırma Alanları
Orman Entomolojisi ve Koruma
Özet
This study presents a dynamic model for the prediction of diurnal changes in the moisture content of dead surface fuels in normally stocked Calabrian pine stands under varying weather conditions. The model was developed based on several empirical relationships between moisture contents of dead surface fuels and weather variables, and calibrated using field data collected from three Calabrian stands from three different regions of Turkey (Mugla, southwest; Antalya, south; Trabzon, north-east). The model was tested and validated with independent measurements of fuel moisture from two sets of field observations made during dry and rainy periods. Model predictions showed a mean absolute error (MAE) of 1.19% for litter and 0.90% for duff at Mugla, and 3.62% for litter and 14.38% for duff at Antalya. When two rainy periods were excluded from the analysis at Antalya site, the MAE decreased from 14.38% to 4.29% and R 2 increased from 0.25 to 0.83 for duff fuels. Graphical inspection and statistical validation of the model indicated that the diurnal litter and duff moisture dynamics could be predicted reasonably. The model can easily be adapted for other similar fuel types in the Mediterranean region.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Drying rate | Fuel moisture content | Modeling | Vapor pressure deficit
Atıf Sayıları
Web of Science 24
Scopus 23
Google Scholar 21
Diurnal surface fuel moisture prediction model for Calabrian pine stands in Turkey

Paylaş