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Diurnal surface fuel moisture prediction model for Calabrian pine stands in Turkey      
Yazarlar
Ertuğrul Bilgili
Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Kadir Alperen Coşkuner
Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Yetkin Usta
Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Bülent Sağlam
Artvin Çoruh Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Prof. Dr. Ömer KÜÇÜK Prof. Dr. Ömer KÜÇÜK
Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Tolga Berber
Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Merih Göltaş
İstanbul Üniversitesi-Cerrahpaşa, Türkiye
Özet
This study presents a dynamic model for the prediction of diurnal changes in the moisture content of dead surface fuels in normally stocked Calabrian pine stands under varying weather conditions. The model was developed based on several empirical relationships between moisture contents of dead surface fuels and weather variables, and calibrated using field data collected from three Calabrian stands from three different regions of Turkey (Mugla, southwest; Antalya, south; Trabzon, north-east). The model was tested and validated with independent measurements of fuel moisture from two sets of field observations made during dry and rainy periods. Model predictions showed a mean absolute error (MAE) of 1.19% for litter and 0.90% for duff at Mugla, and 3.62% for litter and 14.38% for duff at Antalya. When two rainy periods were excluded from the analysis at Antalya site, the MAE decreased from 14.38% to 4.29% and R2 increased from 0.25 to 0.83 for duff fuels. Graphical inspection and statistical validation of the model indicated that the diurnal litter and duff moisture dynamics could be predicted reasonably. The model can easily be adapted for other similar fuel types in the Mediterranean region.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Drying rate | Fuel moisture content | Modeling | Vapor pressure deficit
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayımlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı IFOREST-BIOGEOSCIENCES AND FORESTRY
Dergi ISSN 1971-7458
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SCI-Expanded
Dergi Grubu Q2
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 06-2019
Cilt No 12
Sayı 3
Sayfalar 262 / 271
Doi Numarası 10.3832/ifor2870-012
Makale Linki https://iforest.sisef.org/abstract/?id=ifor2870-012