| Yazarlar |
Doç. Dr. Öznur IŞINKARALAR
Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye |
| Özet |
| Climate risk creates considerable concern due to the density of natural and socio-economic assets in coastal areas. Monitoring land use/cover changes, detecting population growth, and analyzing their impact on land surface temperature (LST) are necessary for effective urban management. In this study, land use/land cover (LULC), population, and LST changes in coastal regions of Portugal. Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite imagery was examined using World Bank population and CORINE data. Changes in land use types and LST values from 1990 to 2018 were analyzed. At the same time, LULC predictions were made using the Modules for Land Use Change Simulation (MOLUSCE) plug-in included in the QGIS software, and population projections were analyzed with LULC predictions in 2046. The results show the significant impact of land use on temperatures. It has been demonstrated that green and water areas can effectively cool cities. In the LULC changes between 1990 and 2018, the Leiria region stands out, with an annual increase of 4.04% in built areas from 121.58 to 259.06 km2. According to the simulations between 2018 and 2046, it was predicted that 18.74% of agricultural areas and 14.43% of forest areas would be transformed into built environments. The study is also essential as it confirms that the MOLUSCE plug-in can be effectively applied to land cover simulation on a large regional scale. |
| Anahtar Kelimeler |
| Climate change mitigation | Climate policy | Geographical information science | Land surface temperature | Land use/cover simulation |
| Makale Türü | Özgün Makale |
| Makale Alt Türü | SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayımlanan tam makale |
| Dergi Adı | NATURAL HAZARDS |
| Dergi ISSN | 0921-030X |
| Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler | SCI-Expanded |
| Dergi Grubu | Q2 |
| Makale Dili | İngilizce |
| Basım Tarihi | 06-2024 |
| Cilt No | 120 |
| Sayı | 8 |
| Sayfalar | 7749 / 7764 |
| Doi Numarası | 10.1007/s11069-024-06519-y |
| Makale Linki | http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06519-y |
| Atıf Sayıları | |
| WoS | 5 |
| SCOPUS | 5 |
| Google Scholar | 6 |
