| Yazarlar (18) |
Kevın J Anchukaıtıs
The University Of Arizona, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri |
|
Ramzı Touchan
The University Of Arizona, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri |
|
Davıd M Meko
The University Of Arizona, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri |
|
Dalıla Kherchouche
Université De Batna 1, Cezayir |
|
Saıd Slımanı
Université Mouloud Mammeri De Tizi Ouzou, Cezayir |
Prof. Dr. Fatih SİVRİKAYA
Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye |
|
Rachıd Ilmen
Hassania School Of Public Works, Fas |
|
Ioannıs Mıtsopoulos
Natural Environment And Climate Change Agency, Yunanistan |
|
Jean Stephan
Université Libanaise, Lübnan |
|
Jıhad Attıeh
University Of Balamand, Lübnan |
|
Foued Hasnaouı
Institut Sylvo-Pastoral De Tabarka, Tunus |
|
J. Julıo Camarero
Csıc - Instituto Pirenaico De Ecología (Ipe), İspanya |
|
Raul Sancez-Salguero
|
|
Frederıc Guıbal
Institut Méditerranéen De Biodiversité Et D'ecologie Marine Et Continentale, Fransa |
|
Alma Pıermatteı
Università Degli Studi Di Torino, İtalya |
|
Andreas Chrıstou
|
|
Jordan Krcmarıc
National Oceanic And Atmospheric Administration, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri |
|
Benjamın I. Cook
Nasa Goddard Institute For Space Studies, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri |
| Özet |
| The Mediterranean region is projected to experience severe drying trends and more extreme hydroclimate events as a consequence of anthropogenic climate change over the next century. In some places this signal may have already emerged from natural variability, but uncertainty in long-term paleoclimate reconstructions can be a significant challenge to the detection of the influence of rising CO2 on droughts. Here we provide expanded context for recent and future hydroclimate changes with a new high-resolution (0.5o) spatial reconstruction of the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) using a tree-ring network that spans much of the last millennium. This network provides new perspective on the existing Old World Drought Atlas (OWDA) and allows us to characterize differences between OWDA and our reconstruction. In light of the uncertainties we identify, we also reexamine previous conclusions about the severity of recent droughts in the context of earlier centuries. We find that, in both the western Mediterranean and the Levant, recent dry periods remain the worst in at least the last 500 years, but our assessment of the significance and confidence in this finding is affected by differences in the tree-ring networks used for the reconstructions. Long millennium-length hydroclimate reconstructions in the Mediterranean do provide the opportunity to understand variability and trends in the hydroclimate of the region, but extant uncertainties arising from the existing tree-ring chronology network and methodological choices call attention to locations that require further proxy collection, chronology updates, and statistical scrutiny. |
| Anahtar Kelimeler |
| Dendrochronology | Drought | Hydroclimate | Mediterranean | Megadrought | Uncertainty |
| Makale Türü | Özgün Makale |
| Makale Alt Türü | SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale |
| Dergi Adı | Climate Dynamics |
| Dergi ISSN | 0930-7575 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi |
| Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler | SCI-Expanded |
| Dergi Grubu | Q2 |
| Makale Dili | İngilizce |
| Basım Tarihi | 03-2024 |
| Cilt No | 62 |
| Sayı | 6 |
| Sayfalar | 5351 / 5371 |
| Doi Numarası | 10.1007/s00382-024-07166-6 |
| Makale Linki | http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07166-6 |
| Atıf Sayıları | |
| WoS | 2 |
| SCOPUS | 3 |
| Google Scholar | 4 |
