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The Impact of Air and Rail Transportation on Environmental Pollution in Turkey: a Fourier Cointegration Analysis    
Yazarlar
Nazife Özge Beşer
Ağrı İbrahim Çeçen Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Doç. Dr. Asiye TÜTÜNCÜ Doç. Dr. Asiye TÜTÜNCÜ
Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Murat Beşer
Türkiye
Cosımo Magazzıno
Özet
Purpose: This paper aims to investigate the influence of air and rail transportation on pollution in Turkey from 1970 to 2020. Design/methodology/approach: Fourier Autoregressive Distributive Lags (ADL) and Fourier Fractional ADL cointegration tests (Banerjee et al., 2017; Ilkay et al., 2021) are employed to analyze the relationship be-tween the variables. Cointegration tests that take into account soft transitions under structural changes are implemented. Structural change issues are crucial for this topic since the changes in countries’ environmental policies and transportation habits are shaped by the decisions taken in relation to environmental regulations. Finally, for robustness purposes, we tested the estimated equation with a completely different methodology. Thus, a Machine Learning (ML) analysis is conducted, through a Ridge Regression (RR). Findings: The findings obtained by applying Fourier Autoregressive Distributive Lags (FADL) and Fourier Fractional ADL cointegration tests, which can control for structural changes, reveal the existence of a long-term relationship between the variables. In addition, FMOLS estimates emphasize that economic growth and air transport can lead to increased pollution in the long run, while rail transport reduces it. Moreover, the statistically significant trigonometric terms indicate the existence of a smooth structural change among the variables. Robustness checks are performed through a Machine Learning (ML) analysis, which roughly confirms the previous results. Originality/value: To our knowledge, existing research in Turkey focuses mainly on road transport, while the impact of rail and air transport on pollution has not yet been investigated. As such, this study will be a significant addition to the academic literature.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Air transport | Environmental pollution | Fourier cointegration | Fourier fractional ADL | Rail transport | Ridge regression | Turkey
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü ESCI dergilerinde yayımlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı Management of Environmental Quality: An International Journal
Dergi ISSN 1477-7835
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler Scopus
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 06-2024
Cilt No 35
Sayı 1
Sayfalar 1836 / 1857
Doi Numarası 10.1108/MEQ-02-2024-0079
Makale Linki https://www.emerald.com/insight/publication/issn/1477-7835#earlycite