Do the Political Uncertainty and Geopolitical Risk Indexes in the G-7 Countries Relate to Stock Prices? Fourier Causality Test Evidence
Yazarlar (3)
Doç. Dr. Asiye TÜTÜNCÜ Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Burcu Savaş Çelik İstanbul Gelişim Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Şükran Kahveci İstanbul Gelişim Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Makale Türü Özgün Makale (ESCI dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale)
Dergi Adı International Economic Journal
Dergi ISSN 1016-8737 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler Scopus
Makale Dili İngilizce Basım Tarihi 09-2024
Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa 38 / 4 / 605–630 DOI 10.1080/10168737.2024.2408483
Makale Linki https://doi.org/10.1080/10168737.2024.2408483
Özet
This study aims to examine the reciprocal effects of the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) and the Geopolitical Risks (GPR) on the stock markets (SP) of the G-7 countries. The findings of the study will allow us to answer the following questions: Do risk and uncertainty conditions in other G-7 countries affect their stock markets as much as those in the country itself? Which affects G-7 stock markets more, EPU or GPR? In addition to previous research in the field, this study conducts a comparative analysis of the effects of the EPU and GPR on the SP of G-7 countries. Therefore, we used the linear VAR Granger, Fourier and Fourier Fractional Frequency Granger Causality tests. We found that the EPU indices of the United States, United Kingdom, and Germany had the greatest impact on the stock markets of their respective countries and other G-7 countries, and the conclusion that G-7 stock markets were influenced by …
Anahtar Kelimeler
C32 | E22 | economic policy uncertainty | Fourier causality | G15 | geopolitical risks | Stock markets