| Yazarlar (5) |
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi Ziya DEMİRKOL
Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye |
Doç. Dr. Faruk DAYI
Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye |
Aylin Erdogdu
|
|
Ahmet Yanik
|
|
Ayhan Benek
|
| Özet |
| In recent years, the utilization of renewable energy sources has significantly increased due to their environmentally friendly nature and sustainability. Among these sources, wind energy plays a critical role, and accurately forecasting wind power with minimal error is essential for optimizing the efficiency and profitability of wind power plants. This study analyzes hourly wind speed data from 23 meteorological stations located in Türkiye's Western Black Sea Region for the years 2020--2024, using the Weibull distribution to estimate annual energy production. Additionally, the same data were forecasted using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model. The predicted data were also assessed through Weibull distribution analysis to evaluate the energy potential of each station. A comparative analysis was then conducted between the Weibull distribution results of the measured and forecast datasets. Based on the annual energy production estimates derived from both datasets, the revenues, costs, and profits of 10 MW wind farms at each location were examined. The findings indicate that the highest revenues and unit electricity profits were observed at the Zonguldak South, Sinop İnceburun, and Bartın South stations. According to the LSTM-based forecasts for 2025, investment in wind energy projects is considered feasible at the Sinop İnceburun, Bartın South, Zonguldak South, İnebolu, Cide North, Gebze Köşkburnu, and Amasra stations. |
| Anahtar Kelimeler |
| cost–volume–profit analysis | LSTM | machine learning | onshore wind power plants | Türkiye | wind energy |
| Makale Türü | Özgün Makale |
| Makale Alt Türü | SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayımlanan tam makale |
| Dergi Adı | Energies |
| Dergi ISSN | 1996-1073 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi |
| Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler | |
| Dergi Grubu | Q3 |
| Makale Dili | İngilizce |
| Basım Tarihi | 05-2025 |
| Cilt No | 18 |
| Sayı | 10 |
| Sayfalar | 2632 / 0 |
| Doi Numarası | 10.3390/en18102632 |
| Atıf Sayıları |
