Trophic Interactions Are Key to Understanding the Effects of Global Change on the Distribution and Functional Role of the Brown Bear

Lucas, Pablo M.; Thuiller, Wilfried; Dutta, Trishna; Fedorca, Ancuta; Frank, Shane C.; Zedrosser, Andreas; Afonso-Jordana, Ivan; Ambarlı, Hüseyin; Ballesteros, Fernando; Bashta, Andriy Taras; Bilgin, Cemal Can; Bogdanović, Neda; Talluto, Lauren; Bojārs, Edgars; Bojarska, Katarzyna; Bragalanti, Natalia; Brøseth, Henrik; Chynoweth, Mark W.; Ćirović, Duško; Ciucci, Paolo; Corradini, Andrea; Angelis, Daniele De; Hernando, Miguel de Gabriel; Polaina, Ester; Domokos, Csaba; Dutsov, Aleksander; ERTÜRK, Alper; Filacorda, Stefano; Frangini, Lorenzo; Groff, Claudio; Heikkinen, Samuli; Hoxha, Bledi; Huber, Djuro; Huitu, Otso; Albrecht, Jörg; Ionescu, Georgeta; Ionescu, Ovidiu; Jerina, Klemen; Jurj, Ramon; Karamanlidis, Alexandros A.; Kindberg, Jonas; Kojola, Ilpo; López-Bao, José Vicente; Männil, Peep; Melovski, Dime; Selva, Nuria; Mertzanis, Yorgos; Molinari, Paolo; Molinari-Jobin, Anja; Mustoni, Andrea; Naves, Javier; Ogurtsov, Sergey; Özüt, Deniz; Palazón, Santiago; Pedrotti, Luca; Perović, Aleksandar; Barba, Marta De; Piminov, Vladimir N.; Pop, Ioan Mihai; Popa, Marius; Psaralexi, Maria; Quenette, Pierre Yves; Rauer, Georg; Reljic, Slaven; Revilla, Eloy; Saarma, Urmas; Saveljev, Alexander P.; Penteriani, Vincenzo; Sayar, Ali Onur; Şekercioğlu, Çagan H.; Sergiel, Agnieszka; Sîrbu, George; Skrbinšek, Tomaž; Skuban, Michaela; SOYUMERT ERTÜRK, Anil; Stojanov, Aleksandar; Tammeleht, Egle; Tirronen, Konstantin; Guéguen, Maya; Trajçe, Aleksandër; Trbojević, Igor; Trbojević, Tijana; Zięba, Filip; Zlatanova, Diana; Zwijacz-Kozica, Tomasz; Pollock, Laura J.; Balkenhol, Niko

doi:10.1111/gcb.70252

Trophic Interactions Are Key to Understanding the Effects of Global Change on the Distribution and Functional Role of the Brown Bear

Yazarlar (87)
Pablo M. Lucas Institute of Nature Conservation of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Poland
Wilfried Thuiller Université Grenoble Alpes, France
Lauren Talluto Universität Innsbruck, Austria
Ester Polaina Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet, Sweden
Jörg Albrecht Senckenberg Biodiversität und Klima Forschungszentrum, Germany
Nuria Selva Institute of Nature Conservation of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Poland
Marta De Barba Université Grenoble Alpes, France
Vincenzo Penteriani CSIC - Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales (MNCN), Spain
Maya Guéguen Université Grenoble Alpes, France
Niko Balkenhol Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, Germany
Trishna Dutta Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, Germany
Ancuta Fedorca National Institute for Research and Development in Forestry,"Marin Drăcea", Romania
Shane C. Frank University of South-Eastern Norway, Norway
Andreas Zedrosser University of South-Eastern Norway, Norway
Ivan Afonso-Jordana Conselh Generau d’Aran, Spain
Hüseyin Ambarlı Düzce Üniversitesi, Turkey
Fernando Ballesteros Brown Bear Foundation, Spain
Andriy Taras Bashta National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Ukraine
Cemal Can Bilgin Middle East Technical University (METU), Turkey
Neda Bogdanović University of Belgrade, Serbia
Edgars Bojārs Eesti Maaülikool, Estonia
Katarzyna Bojarska Institute of Nature Conservation of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Poland
Natalia Bragalanti Servizio Foreste e Fauna, Italy
Henrik Brøseth Trondheim hovedkontor, Norway
Mark W. Chynoweth Utah State University, United States
Duško Ćirović University of Belgrade, Serbia
Paolo Ciucci Sapienza Università di Roma, Italy
Andrea Corradini Fondazione Edmund Mach, Italy
Daniele De Angelis Sapienza Università di Roma, Italy
Miguel de Gabriel Hernando CSIC - Estación Biológica de Doñana (EBD), Spain
Csaba Domokos Milvus Group Bird and Nature Protection Association, Romania
Aleksander Dutsov Balkani Wildlife Society, Bulgaria
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi Alper ERTÜRK Kurum Bilgileri Araç Rafet Vergili Meslek Yüksekokulu Ormancılık Avcılık ve Yaban Hayatı Programı Özgeçmiş Sayfası İletişim Bilgileri: (366)362-2620 Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Stefano Filacorda Università degli Studi di Udine, Italy
Lorenzo Frangini Università degli Studi di Udine, Italy
Claudio Groff Servizio Foreste e Fauna, Italy
Samuli Heikkinen Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Finland
Bledi Hoxha Protection and Preservation of Natural Environment in Albania, Albania
Djuro Huber Sveučilište u Zagrebu, Veterinarski fakultet, Croatia
Otso Huitu Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Finland
Georgeta Ionescu National Institute for Research and Development in Forestry,"Marin Drăcea", Romania
Ovidiu Ionescu National Institute for Research and Development in Forestry,"Marin Drăcea", Romania
Klemen Jerina Univerza v Ljubljani, Slovenia
Ramon Jurj National Institute for Research and Development in Forestry,"Marin Drăcea", Romania
Alexandros A. Karamanlidis Civil Society for the Protection and Management of Wildlife and the Natural Environment, Greece
Jonas Kindberg Trondheim hovedkontor, Norway
Ilpo Kojola Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Finland
José Vicente López-Bao Universidad de Oviedo, Spain
Peep Männil Estonian Environment Agency, Estonia
Dime Melovski Macedonian Ecological Society, North Macedonia
Yorgos Mertzanis “Callisto” Wildlife and Nature Conservation Society, Greece
Paolo Molinari Progetto Lince Italia, Italy
Anja Molinari-Jobin Progetto Lince Italia, Italy
Andrea Mustoni Adamello Brenta Nature Park, Italy
Javier Naves CSIC - Estación Biológica de Doñana (EBD), Spain
Sergey Ogurtsov Central Forest State Nature Biosphere Reserve, Russian Federation
Deniz Özüt Nature Conservation Centre, Turkey
Santiago Palazón Generalitat of Catalonia, Spain
Luca Pedrotti Stelvio National Park, Italy
Aleksandar Perović Center for Protection and Research of Birds of Montenegro (CZIP)/BirdLife Montenegro, Montenegro
Vladimir N. Piminov Russian Research Institute of Game Management and Fur Farming, Russian Federation
Ioan Mihai Pop Institute for Research and Development for Hunting and Mountain Resources, Romania
Marius Popa National Institute for Research and Development in Forestry,"Marin Drăcea", Romania
Maria Psaralexi “Callisto” Wildlife and Nature Conservation Society, Greece
Pierre Yves Quenette French Biodiversity Agency, France
Georg Rauer WWF Austria, Austria
Slaven Reljic Sveučilište u Zagrebu, Veterinarski fakultet, Croatia
Eloy Revilla CSIC - Estación Biológica de Doñana (EBD), Spain
Urmas Saarma Ökoloogia ja Maateaduste Instituut, Estonia
Alexander P. Saveljev Russian Research Institute of Game Management and Fur Farming, Russian Federation
Ali Onur Sayar Çankiri Karatekin Üniversitesi, Turkey
Çagan H. Şekercioğlu The University of Utah, United States
Agnieszka Sergiel Institute of Nature Conservation of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Poland
George Sîrbu National Institute for Research and Development in Forestry,"Marin Drăcea", Romania
Tomaž Skrbinšek Univerza v Ljubljani, Slovenia
Michaela Skuban Carpathian Wildlife Society, Slovakia
Doç. Dr. Anil SOYUMERT ERTÜRK Kurum Bilgileri Araç Rafet Vergili Meslek Yüksekokulu Ormancılık Avcılık ve Yaban Hayatı Programı Özgeçmiş Sayfası İletişim Bilgileri: (366)280-1000 Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Aleksandar Stojanov Macedonian Ecological Society, North Macedonia
Egle Tammeleht Ökoloogia ja Maateaduste Instituut, Estonia
Konstantin Tirronen Institute of Biology KarRC RAS, Russian Federation
Aleksandër Trajçe Protection and Preservation of Natural Environment in Albania, Albania
Igor Trbojević University of Banja Luka, Bosnia and Herzegovina
Tijana Trbojević Ecology and Research Association, Bosnia and Herzegovina
Filip Zięba Tatra National Park, Poland
Diana Zlatanova Sofia University St. Kliment Ohridski, Bulgaria
Tomasz Zwijacz-Kozica Tatra National Park, Poland
Laura J. Pollock Université Grenoble Alpes, France

Devamını Göster

Özet

ABSTRACTBiotic interactions are expected to influence species' responses to global changes, but they are rarely considered across broad spatial extents. Abiotic factors are thought to operate at larger spatial scales, while biotic factors, such as species interactions, are considered more important at local scales within communities, in part because of the knowledge gap on species interactions at large spatial scales (i.e., the Eltonian shortfall). We assessed, at a continental scale, (i) the importance of biotic interactions, through food webs, on species distributions, and (ii) how biotic interactions under scenarios of climate and land‐use change may affect the distribution of the brown bear (Ursus arctos). We built a highly detailed, spatially dynamic, and empirically sampled food web based on the energy contribution of 276 brown bear food species from different taxa (plants, vertebrates, and invertebrates) and their ensemble habitat models at high resolution across Europe. Then, combining energy contribution and predicted habitat of food species, we modelled energy contribution across space and included these layers within Bayesian‐based models of the brown bear distribution in Europe. The inclusion of biotic interactions considerably improved our understanding of brown bear distribution at large (continental) scales compared with Bayesian models including only abiotic factors (climate and land use). Predicted future range shifts, which included changes in the distribution of food species, varied greatly when considering various scenarios of change in biotic factors, providing a warning that future indirect climate and land‐use change are likely to have strong but highly uncertain impacts on species biogeography. Our study confirmed that advancing our understanding of ecological networks of species interactions will improve future projections of biodiversity change, especially for modelling species distributions and their functional role under climate and land‐use change scenarios, which is key for effective conservation of biodiversity and ecosystem services.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Makale Türü	Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü	Uluslararası alan indekslerindeki dergilerde yayımlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı	Global Change Biology
Dergi ISSN	1354-1013 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler	SCOPUS
Makale Dili	İngilizce
Basım Tarihi	06-2025
Cilt No	31
Sayı	6
Doi Numarası	10.1111/gcb.70252
Makale Linki	http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70252

BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları

Atıf Sayıları

Trophic Interactions Are Key to Understanding the Effects of Global Change on the Distribution and Functional Role of the Brown Bear

Akademisyenler > Alper ERTÜRK > Yayın Detayı

Trophic Interactions Are Key to Understanding the Effects of Global Change on the Distribution and Functional Role of the Brown Bear

Paylaş