Trophic Interactions Are Key to Understanding the Effects of Global Change on the Distribution and Functional Role of the Brown Bear

Lucas, Pablo M; Thuiller, Wilfried; Dutta, Trishna; Fedorca, Ancuta; Frank, Shane C; Zedrosser, Andreas; Afonso-Jordana, Ivan; Ambarlı, Hüseyin; Ballesteros, Fernando; Bashta, Andriy-Taras; Bilgin, Cemal Can; Bogdanović, Neda; Talluto, Lauren; Bojārs, Edgars; Bojarska, Katarzyna; Bragalanti, Natalia; Brøseth, Henrik; Chynoweth, Mark W; Ćirović, Duško; Ciucci, Paolo; Corradini, Andrea; Angelis, Daniele De; Hernando, Miguel de Gabriel; Polaina, Ester; Domokos, Csaba; Dutsov, Aleksander; Ertürk, Alper; Filacorda, Stefano; Frangini, Lorenzo; Groff, Claudio; Heikkinen, Samuli; Hoxha, Bledi; Huber, Djuro; Huitu, Otso; Albrecht, Jörg; Ionescu, Georgeta; Ionescu, Ovidiu; Jerina, Klemen; Jurj, Ramon; Karamanlidis, Alexandros A; Kindberg, Jonas; Kojola, Ilpo; López-Bao, José Vicente; Männil, Peep; Melovski, Dime; Selva, Nuria; Mertzanis, Yorgos; Molinari, Paolo; Molinari-Jobin, Anja; Mustoni, Andrea; Naves, Javier; Ogurtsov, Sergey; Özüt, Deniz; Palazón, Santiago; Pedrotti, Luca; Perović, Aleksandar; Barba, Marta De; Piminov, Vladimir N; Pop, Ioan-Mihai; Popa, Marius; Psaralexi, Maria; Quenette, Pierre-Yves; Rauer, Georg; Reljic, Slaven; Revilla, Eloy; Saarma, Urmas; Saveljev, Alexander P; Penteriani, Vincenzo; Sayar, Ali Onur; Şekercioğlu, Çagan H; Sergiel, Agnieszka; Sîrbu, George; Skrbinšek, Tomaž; Skuban, Michaela; Soyumert, Anil; Stojanov, Aleksandar; Tammeleht, Egle; Tirronen, Konstantin; Guéguen, Maya; Trajçe, Aleksandër; Trbojević, Igor; Trbojević, Tijana; Zięba, Filip; Zlatanova, Diana; Zwijacz-Kozica, Tomasz; Pollock, Laura J; Balkenhol, Niko

doi:10.1111/gcb.70252

Trophic Interactions Are Key to Understanding the Effects of Global Change on the Distribution and Functional Role of the Brown Bear

Yazarlar (87)
Pablo M Lucas
Wilfried Thuiller
Lauren Talluto
Ester Polaina
Jörg Albrecht
Nuria Selva
Marta De Barba
Vincenzo Penteriani
Maya Guéguen
Niko Balkenhol
Trishna Dutta
Ancuta Fedorca
Shane C Frank
Andreas Zedrosser
Ivan Afonso-Jordana
Hüseyin Ambarlı
Fernando Ballesteros
Andriy-Taras Bashta
Cemal Can Bilgin
Neda Bogdanović
Edgars Bojārs
Katarzyna Bojarska
Natalia Bragalanti
Henrik Brøseth
Mark W Chynoweth
Duško Ćirović
Paolo Ciucci
Andrea Corradini
Daniele De Angelis
Miguel de Gabriel Hernando
Csaba Domokos
Aleksander Dutsov
Alper Ertürk
Stefano Filacorda
Lorenzo Frangini
Claudio Groff
Samuli Heikkinen
Bledi Hoxha
Djuro Huber
Otso Huitu
Georgeta Ionescu
Ovidiu Ionescu
Klemen Jerina
Ramon Jurj
Alexandros A Karamanlidis
Jonas Kindberg
Ilpo Kojola
José Vicente López-Bao
Peep Männil
Dime Melovski
Yorgos Mertzanis
Paolo Molinari
Anja Molinari-Jobin
Andrea Mustoni
Javier Naves
Sergey Ogurtsov
Deniz Özüt
Santiago Palazón
Luca Pedrotti
Aleksandar Perović
Vladimir N Piminov
Ioan-Mihai Pop
Marius Popa
Maria Psaralexi
Pierre-Yves Quenette
Georg Rauer
Slaven Reljic
Eloy Revilla
Urmas Saarma
Alexander P Saveljev
Ali Onur Sayar
Çagan H Şekercioğlu
Agnieszka Sergiel
George Sîrbu
Tomaž Skrbinšek
Michaela Skuban
Anil Soyumert
Aleksandar Stojanov
Egle Tammeleht
Konstantin Tirronen
Aleksandër Trajçe
Igor Trbojević
Tijana Trbojević
Filip Zięba
Diana Zlatanova
Tomasz Zwijacz-Kozica
Laura J Pollock

Devamını Göster

Özet

ABSTRACTBiotic interactions are expected to influence species' responses to global changes, but they are rarely considered across broad spatial extents. Abiotic factors are thought to operate at larger spatial scales, while biotic factors, such as species interactions, are considered more important at local scales within communities, in part because of the knowledge gap on species interactions at large spatial scales (i.e., the Eltonian shortfall). We assessed, at a continental scale, (i) the importance of biotic interactions, through food webs, on species distributions, and (ii) how biotic interactions under scenarios of climate and land‐use change may affect the distribution of the brown bear (Ursus arctos). We built a highly detailed, spatially dynamic, and empirically sampled food web based on the energy contribution of 276 brown bear food species from different taxa (plants, vertebrates, and invertebrates) and their ensemble habitat models at high resolution across Europe. Then, combining energy contribution and predicted habitat of food species, we modelled energy contribution across space and included these layers within Bayesian‐based models of the brown bear distribution in Europe. The inclusion of biotic interactions considerably improved our understanding of brown bear distribution at large (continental) scales compared with Bayesian models including only abiotic factors (climate and land use). Predicted future range shifts, which included changes in the distribution of food species, varied greatly when considering various scenarios of change in biotic factors, providing a warning that future indirect climate and land‐use change are likely to have strong but highly uncertain impacts on species biogeography. Our study confirmed that advancing our understanding of ecological networks of species interactions will improve future projections of biodiversity change, especially for modelling species distributions and their functional role under climate and land‐use change scenarios, which is key for effective conservation of biodiversity and ecosystem services.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Makale Türü	Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü	Uluslararası alan indekslerindeki dergilerde yayımlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı	Global Change Biology
Dergi ISSN	1354-1013 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler	SCOPUS
Makale Dili	İngilizce
Basım Tarihi	06-2025
Cilt No	31
Sayı	6
Doi Numarası	10.1111/gcb.70252
Makale Linki	http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70252

BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları

Atıf Sayıları

Trophic Interactions Are Key to Understanding the Effects of Global Change on the Distribution and Functional Role of the Brown Bear

Akademisyenler > Alper ERTÜRK > Yayın Detayı

Trophic Interactions Are Key to Understanding the Effects of Global Change on the Distribution and Functional Role of the Brown Bear

Paylaş