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Climate change impacts on Taxus baccata distribution and conservation  
Yazarlar (5)
Ilknur Zeren Cetin
Ondokuz Mayis Üniversitesi, Turkey
Halil Baris Ozel
Bartin Üniversitesi, Turkey
Tugrul Varol
Bartin Üniversitesi, Turkey
Ugur Canturk
Düzce Üniversitesi, Turkey
Prof. Dr. Hakan ŞEVİK Prof. Dr. Hakan ŞEVİK
Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Devamını Göster
Özet
This study looks at the impact of climate change on the future distribution of Taxus baccata L., a species under threat. It examines how altitudinal changes may influence distribution, projecting scenarios to 2100 using the SSPs 585 SSPs 245 scenarios in 20-year intervals. The results show a contraction in distribution in areas such as in Iceland and the United Kingdom, with certain extreme points disappearing. Simultaneously, new suitable areas are expected to emerge in select regions of Asia. The study underscores the significant changes anticipated in the distribution of T. baccata due to global climate change. It suggests that the threshold for addressing climate change on this particular species has been exceeded, and emphasizes the need for concerted efforts to mitigate and adapt to climate change impacts on ecosystems and organisms. As climate change affects various aspects of life, the study advocates for sector-wide plans. These would include efficient resource utilization, selecting genotypes for afforestation of this species with lower water requirements, incorporating climate change predictions into management plans, conserving biological and genetic diversity, and developing in-situ and ex-situ conservation strategies. Anticipation of future climate changes and corresponding measures in response are crucial to minimizing the impact on this species. The study recommends establishing mixed forests composed of species resilient to a range of climate scenarios, thereby enhancing forest continuity across regions with varying degrees of climate impact. Genetic diversity is an important defense mechanism important to preserving it. Global climate change will result in significant alterations in the distribution of certain species, potentially causing population declines. Intervention is required to support the adaptation of vulnerable species, necessitating forward-looking strategies that anticipate shifts in their habitat suitability. This study emphasizes the implications of climate change for T. baccata and underscores the urgency of targeted conservation efforts to protect its populations and ensure long-term persistence.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Global climate change | SSPs 245 | SSPs 585 | Taxus baccata
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayımlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı Journal of Forestry Research
Dergi ISSN 1007-662X Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Dergi Grubu Q1
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 12-2025
Cilt No 36
Sayı 1
Doi Numarası 10.1007/s11676-025-01893-0
BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
Atıf Sayıları
Climate change impacts on Taxus baccata distribution and conservation

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