| Yazarlar (5) |
Doç. Dr. Öznur IŞINKARALAR
Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye |
Doç. Dr. Kaan IŞINKARALAR
Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye |
|
Nanjing University Of Information Science & Technology, Çin |
|
Henan University, Çin |
|
Hiroshima University, Japonya |
| Özet |
| This study investigates the impact of climate change on bioclimatic comfort zones in the Western Black Sea basin, a region known for its natural touristic resources. Using global climate change scenarios and two bioclimatic indices (Discomfort Index and Effective Temperature-taking wind Velocity), we analyze potential shifts in the spatial distribution of comfortable areas. Findings of the Discomfort Index (DI) simulations reveal significant changes by 2100: cold areas, currently covering 88.5% of the region, will decrease to 4.3% under the SSP 585 scenario, while comfortable zones will emerge, covering 54.9% of the area. Effective temperature taking wind Velocity (ETv) simulations indicate dominance of moderately cold (43.9%) and slightly cool areas (44.4%). Additionally, comfort zones (7.9%) will increasingly emerge. These results suggest that the Western Black Sea basin, characterized by a short tourism season and below-average sea temperatures, may develop a more favorable bioclimatic structure, particularly for coastal tourism. This research provides valuable insights for regional development strategies and upper-scale planning, highlighting the potential for increased bioclimatically comfortable areas throughout the basin due to climate change. |
| Anahtar Kelimeler |
| Adaptation strategies | Climate change scenarios | Cold regions | Geographic information systems | Spatial planning |
| Makale Türü | Özgün Makale |
| Makale Alt Türü | SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale |
| Dergi Adı | Theoretical and Applied Climatology |
| Dergi ISSN | 0177-798X Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi |
| Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler | SCI-Expanded |
| Dergi Grubu | Q3 |
| Makale Dili | İngilizce |
| Basım Tarihi | 09-2025 |
| Cilt No | 156 |
| Sayı | 10 |
| Sayfalar | 543 / 0 |
| Doi Numarası | 10.1007/s00704-025-05804-5 |
| Makale Linki | https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-025-05804-5 |