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Prediction of soil-bearing capacity on forest roads by statistical approaches       
Yazarlar
Tuğrul Varol
Bartın Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Halil Barış Özel
Bartın Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Mertol Ertuğrul
Bartın Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Tuna Emir
Bartın Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Metin Tunay
Türkiye
Mehmet Çetin
Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Prof. Dr. Hakan ŞEVİK Prof. Dr. Hakan ŞEVİK
Türkiye
Özet
The soil-bearing capacity is one of the important criteria in dimensioning the superstructure. In Turkey, predictability of California Bearing Ratio values, which may be used in the planning and dimensioning of forest roads, of which about 26% lacks the superstructure, by using soil mechanical properties (cost and time efficient parameters that are easier to determine) is investigated. Simple linear regression, multiple linear regression, artificial neural networks and adaptive network–based fuzzy inference system methods were utilized. Two hundred sixty-four California Bearing Ratio values obtained from the project carried out on the forest roads of Bartin Forest Operation Directorate were used in both the production of training-test data and the creation of models. Statistical performance of the models was assessed by means of parameters such as root-mean-square error, mean absolute error and R2. The obtained results show that the bearing capacity values predicted by artificial neural networks and adaptive network based fuzzy inference system models display significantly better performance than the simple linear regression and multiple linear regression models. While the highest prediction capacity belongs to adaptive network based fuzzy inference system (0.969–0.991), it is followed by artificial neural networks (R2 = 0.796–0.974), multiple linear regression (R2 = 0.796) and simple linear regression (R2 = 0.554). What makes the algorithms superior than the traditional statistical models is the fact that they have many processing neurons, each with local connections, and thus have higher error tolerance. On the other hand, for the forest and rural roads, which play an important role in rural development of the forest peasants, to be able to operate all-seasons, superstructure should be immediately built in order to minimize the wear on the roads.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Artificial neural network | Atterberg limits | California Bearing Ratio | Forest road | Network-based fuzzy inference systems
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayımlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT
Dergi ISSN 0167-6369
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SCI-Expanded
Dergi Grubu Q3
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 08-2021
Cilt No 193
Sayı 8
Sayfalar 1 / 13
Doi Numarası 10.1007/s10661-021-09335-0
Makale Linki http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10661-021-09335-0