AdaBoost-powered multi-class classification of pre-earthquake ionospheric anomalies using GNSS network in Türkiye: A comparison with random forest
Yazarlar (3)
Doç. Dr. Seçil KARATAY Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Zeynep Mantaroğlu
Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Esra Nur Şerbetli
Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Makale Türü Açık Erişim Özgün Makale (SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale)
Dergi Adı Earth Science Informatics (Q2)
Dergi ISSN 1865-0473 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SCI-Expanded
Makale Dili Türkçe Basım Tarihi 04-2026
Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa 19 / 5 / 1–31 DOI 10.1007/s12145-026-02109-7
Makale Linki https://doi.org/10.1007/s12145-026-02109-7
UAK Araştırma Alanları
Makine Öğrenmesi İşaret İşleme
Özet
This study presents a novel Machine Learning framework for detecting pre-earthquake ionospheric anomalies using the Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost) ensemble algorithm, applied to high-resolution Total Electron Content (TEC) data derived from Türkiye’s dense TNPGN-Active GNSS network. Within the Lithosphere-Atmosphere-Ionosphere Coupling (LAIC) paradigm, we address key challenges in earthquake precursor research by implementing a three-class classification scheme to distinguish genuine seismo-ionospheric disturbances (Class-2: three days preceding earthquakes) from baseline variability under geomagnetically quiet (Class-0) and disturbed (Class-1) conditions, while incorporating geomagnetic indices (Kp, Ap, Dst) to filter space weather effects. IONOLAB-TEC estimates are analyzed for three M ≥ 6.0 earthquakes in Türkiye: Elazığ (Mw 6.7, 24 January 2020), İzmir (Mw 7.0, 30 October 2020 …
Anahtar Kelimeler
AdaBoost ensemble | Geomagnetic activity filtering | GNSS | Machine Learning | Remote sensing | Seismo-ionospheric precursors | Total Electron Content (TEC)