Effect of climate change on potential distribution of oriental beech (Fagus orientalis Lipsky.) in the twenty-first century in Turkey
Yazarlar (4)
Prof. Dr. Sezgin AYAN Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Prof. Dr. Ender Buğday Çankiri Karatekin Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Prof. Dr. Tuğrul Varol Bartin Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Eric Andreas Thurm
Research Unit Silviculture And Forest Growth, Almanya
Research Unit Silviculture And Forest Growth, Almanya
| Makale Türü | Özgün Makale (SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale) | ||
| Dergi Adı | Theoretical and Applied Climatology | ||
| Dergi ISSN | 0177-798X Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi | ||
| Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler | SCI-Expanded | ||
| Makale Dili | Türkçe | Basım Tarihi | 01-2022 |
| Kabul Tarihi | 13-01-2022 | Yayınlanma Tarihi | 21-01-2022 |
| Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa | 148 / 1 / 165–177 | DOI | 10.1007/s00704-022-03940-w |
| Makale Linki | http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-022-03940-w | ||
| UAK Araştırma Alanları |
Silvikültür
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| Özet |
| The rising temperatures and decreasing rainfall are expected to have negative effects on ecosystem services by causing significant shrinkage or shift of forest distribution particularly in Mediterranean basin. In this study, it was aimed to determine the distribution of oriental beech (Fagus orientalis Lipsky.) by modelling the current and future potential locations of the habitats. With Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) approach, we predicted its distribution under current and future conditions (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) in Turkey. Modelling was performed by using eight bioclimatic variables that show significant relationship to the current distribution of oriental beech and were widely used in the literature. The fitted model had high quality (93.5% AUC) and is biological meaningful. The prediction of warmer condition in future showed that the populations on the southern slopes of the North Anatolian Mountains were expected to shrink … |
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BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
| Atıf Sayıları | |
| Web of Science | 21 |
| Scopus | 23 |
| Google Scholar | 32 |