Effect of climate change on potential distribution of Cedrus libani A. Rich in the twenty‑first century: an Ecological Niche Modeling assessment
Yazarlar (6)
Javier López-Tirado Universidad De Huelva, İspanya
Federico Vessella Università Degli Studi Della Tuscia Viterbo, İtalya
Jean Stephan Université Libanaise, Lübnan
Prof. Dr. Sezgin AYAN Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Bartolomeo Schirone Università Degli Studi Della Tuscia Viterbo, İtalya
Pablo J. Hidalgo
Universidad De Huelva, İspanya
Universidad De Huelva, İspanya
| Makale Türü | Özgün Makale (SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale) | ||
| Dergi Adı | New Forests | ||
| Dergi ISSN | 0169-4286 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi | ||
| Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler | SCI-Expanded | ||
| Makale Dili | İngilizce | Basım Tarihi | 12-2021 |
| Kabul Tarihi | 18-06-2020 | Yayınlanma Tarihi | 27-06-2020 |
| Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa | 52 / 3 / 363–376 | DOI | 10.1007/s11056-020-09798-y |
| Makale Linki | https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11056-020-09798-y | ||
| UAK Araştırma Alanları |
Silvikültür
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| Özet |
| The present study is focused on the potential distribution of the Lebanese cedar (Cedrus libani) in the present and in the future throughout the twenty-first century. The location of this work encompasses Lebanon, Syria and Turkey. Twenty-four environmental variables are used and two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios for two different time periods are studied: RCP 4.5 2050, RCP 4.5 2070, RCP 8.5 2050 and RCP 8.5 2070. The most interesting novelty is the use of 13 General Circulation Models and 6 algorithms (Climate Space Model, Envelope Score, Environmental Distance, Genetic Algorithm for Rule-set Production, Maximum Entropy and Support Vector Machines) were considered for modelling. Area Under the Curve is used as goodness of fit and building the final consensus map. The global habitat suitability area would enlarge in the forecasted scenarios with respect to the present … |
| Anahtar Kelimeler |
| Cedrus libani | Climate change | Ecological Niche Modeling | Forecasting | Near East | Potential distribution |
BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
| Atıf Sayıları | |
| Scopus | 29 |
| Google Scholar | 36 |