Climate-related spatial reduction risk of agricultural lands on the Mediterranean coast in Türkiye and scenario-based modelling of urban growth
Yazarlar (3)
Doç. Dr. Öznur IŞINKARALAR Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Doç. Dr. Kaan IŞINKARALAR Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Dilara Yılmaz Kastamonu Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Makale Türü Açık Erişim Özgün Makale (SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale)
Dergi Adı Environment Development and Sustainability (Q2)
Dergi ISSN 1387-585X Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SCI-Expanded
Makale Dili İngilizce Basım Tarihi 08-2023
Kabul Tarihi 07-08-2023 Yayınlanma Tarihi 24-08-2023
Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa 25 / 11 / 13199–13217 DOI 10.1007/s10668-023-03774-0
Makale Linki https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10668-023-03774-0
Özet
The effects of urbanization and climate crisis due to warming and severe climate events are the primary critical developments that threaten agricultural production activities worldwide. The annual average surface temperature in Türkiye increased by 1.07 °C between 2010 and 2019, and it reached 1.4 °C in 2021. It is predicted that the temperatures will continue to grow in the coastal areas of the Mediterranean Region, where the annual average temperature is 18–20 °C. In countries with high climate risks, the sustainability of agricultural activities is a priority research topic in many respects, especially food safety. In this context, the spatiotemporal change in agricultural areas in cities located on the Mediterranean coast, one of the country’s warmest regions, is estimated for 2040 via the Cellular Automata-Markov chain method. As a result of the simulation made in the IDRISI Selva program, two different estimations …
Anahtar Kelimeler
Geographic information systems | Global warming | LULC | Spatial modeling | Spatial reshaping | Sustainable environment